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        • The Security Sector in a Captured State
          • Publications

          • Autor:
          • The Security Sector in a Captured State

          • Report on state capture in Serbia is BCSP genuine and pioneering work aiming to document and deconstruct ongoing process of state capture in the security sector through presentation of mechanisms, actors and consequences of this process.

        • The Security Sector in the State of Emergency: Testing Democracy
          • Publications

          • Autor: Isidora Stakic, Jelena Pejic Nikic, Katarina Djokic, Marija Ignjatijevic, Sasa Djordjevic
          • The Security Sector in the State of Emergency: Testing Democracy

          • This analysis by the Belgrade Centre for Security Policy (BCSP) concludes that during the 52 days it spent in a state of emergency, Serbia failed the test of democracy, thanks to a series of failings and irregularities in the conduct and control of the security sector.

        • The Masks Have Slipped: Serbia in a Geopolitical Pandemic
          • Publications

          • Autor: Isidora Stakic, Maja Bjelos, Marko Drajić
          • The Masks Have Slipped: Serbia in a Geopolitical Pandemic

          • Masks have slipped and the interests of Serbia’s foreign policy were exposed during the COVID-19 pandemic. These interests are not based on the principles of common goods, but on mechanism for preserving the existing internal order. This is one of the conclusions in the foreign policy analysis ...

        • Crime in the Western Balkans Six at the Time of Coronavirus: Early Findings
          • Publications

          • Autor: Sasa Djordjevic
          • Crime in the Western Balkans Six at the Time of Coronavirus: Early Findings

          • Did organized crime groups continue with their activity at the time of Coronavirus, which trends in the criminal activities in the Western Balkans can be noticed in the first six weeks of the pandemic and which scenarios can be envisaged for the future, analyzed BCSP Researcher Sasa Djordjevic.

        • Pandemic of geopolitics
          • Publications

          • Autor: Igor Bandovic
          • Pandemic of geopolitics

          • How does the COVIDー19 pandemic influence Serbia's foreign policy - read in the op-ed writen by BCSP Director Igor Bandovic for the weekly "Vreme".

        The Security Sector in a Captured StateThe Security Sector in the State of Emergency: Testing DemocracyThe Masks Have Slipped: Serbia in a Geopolitical PandemicCrime in the Western Balkans Six at the Time of Coronavirus: Early FindingsPandemic of geopolitics
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        • In the Western Balkans Six, the first person officially infected with Coronavirus was reported at the end of February. Once this happened, regional authorities closed the borders and restricted the movement of people to prevent spread of the infection. In such an environment, the priority of the police became to control the movement of the population rather than suppress criminal activities.

          In the meantime, criminals continue with their activity, looking for ways to take advantage of the crisis and earn a little bit extra.

           

          Analysis of crime in the first six weeks of the pandemic shows several trends.

           

          The region has experienced a small increase in the price of marijuana, which is still very much present on the market. The same applies to stimulant drugs. There is, however, very little heroin. At the onset of the pandemic, prices of protective face masks, disinfectants and medicinal alcohol skyrocketed due to attempts at price gouging. There have been cases of scamming using mobile and digital technologies, as well as breaking into newspaper/cigarette kiosks, shops, pharmacies, exchange offices, and other similar facilities.

          At this moment, it is difficult to determine whether there has been a decline or increase in the smuggling of and trafficking in human beings. Unlike in Europe, no cases of sexual exploitation for the purpose of the provision of online services have been noted, but the number of calls to organizations providing assistance related to human trafficking has increased.

          People with drug and alcohol problems, persons living with HIV, those who are susceptible to stress, citizens with mental health problems, pensioners, the poor, the homeless and recently released prisoners are the biggest potential victims of crime during this pandemic crisis.

           

          Several scenarios can be envisaged for the future.

           

          There will be a decline in the supply and quality of illegal drugs. The price of heroin substitutes is expected to increase. It is certain that criminal groups will find alternative ways of distributing narcotics and other illegal products in urban areas, using mobile technologies and couriers, but also corruption of law enforcement. It is possible that criminal groups will shift their manufacturing and logistics activities to smaller towns and rural areas, where they will be less visible.

          Violent clashes between criminal groups are possible before stocks of illegal substances get used up. Investments made by criminal groups or money laundering through the production and distribution of medical and protective equipment are also to be anticipated. Organized crime cases may go uninvestigated, as they are not a priority at the time when contagion is spreading. The risk of corruption in the security sector, particularly within the ranks of the border police, is now higher.

          There is a risk that online scamming and the number of fraudulent charities seeking to make money will increase. There could be more prisoners in the region because of new offenders who are, most often, citizens who violate restrictions on movement. Smuggling people will be more difficult. Should the pandemic crisis persist, in an environment of weak institutions, criminal groups may position themselves as partners to official authorities offering to deliver services or provide support.

        • Tags: organised crime, criminal, crime prevention, Western Balkans, Coronavirus, regional security, police
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